Victoria is right now
in its 4th week of its stage
4 restrictions, which was enforced starting August 2nd. This is
more of a curfew than a simple restriction and is far stricter and fine grained
than the earlier restrictions. And it seems to be working. Take a look at the
graph of new cases being reported in the state of Victoria.
The
2nd of August is right in the middle of this graph, when the number
of cases being reported was at its peak. And then the counts go down gradually,
as soon as the curfew hits the city, and later the state completely. It is a
familiar pattern, the number of infections decrease as soon as the primary
vector, humans ,are immobilised. Everyone is staying locked in , until 13th
September, the date these restrictions are scheduled to end.
Simply
put, a stitch in time saves nine.
It
is not , and was never, that easy to ask Victorians to stay in. Aussies are an
outdoorsy folk, the live outside, under the sun and in the rain. They could
maybe stay in a few weeks, but definitely not in months. All through this period,
there have been conspiracy theorists and plain idiots calling for a boycott of
the curfews, asserting falsely, that it violates their ‘freedom of movement’,
whatever that means. There were also calls from small business owners to
re-open in a controlled way, in order to bring back much needed business. Add
to this the bunch the virus deniers and anti-vaxxers, you have a gathering of
monsters to control. Having never experience a war first hand, and not used to
being ruled under a regime, people here take their own personal freedom for
granted, and not a privilege. The only
thing the country had going for it was the small population. At 25 million people,
there are more people in the state of Kerala in India than the total population
of Australia and New Zealand combined ! So some police presence on the road,
and the new of Australian Defence Forces patrolling the streets was enough to
herd in the dissenters. And of course, the heavy fines 😊.
So
verdict ? It seems to be working. One can only hope the course will hold steady
until the counts come down to 0. And hopefully, this will the last time this
lesson need to be learnt. This is our second time doing this, remember ?
Can’t
go back. There can not be a third wave.